• - IDC forecasts 1.38 billion smartphones in 2021 - the highest level since 2015

    IDC forecasts 1.38 billion smartphones in 2021 - the highest level since 2015
    22 Days, 16 Hours ago

    Tags:  Statistics  -  IDC

    In a report on May 26 this year (June 5, 1400), the IDC Research Institute upgraded its forecast from the short-term outlook for the global smartphone market. According to the statistics provided by the quarterly survey of the mobile phone market of this institute, it is predicted that the total supply of smartphones in 2021 will reach 1.38 billion units, which will increase by more than 7.7% compared to last year. In addition, IDC estimates that this trend will continue until 2022 and will record an annual growth of 3.8 percent with a total supply of 1.43 billion units next year. IDC forecasts 1.38 billion smartphones in 2021 - the highest level since 2015

    This forecast comes at a time when with the deployment of 5G networks, the smartphone market across The world is rapidly transitioning to fifth generation technology. However, in emerging markets, due to the recession caused by the COVID-19 epidemic, the demand for low-end and mid-range handsets has also increased significantly. Based on these preconditions, IDC has concluded that limited single-digit growth will continue until 2025, with a five-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of around 3.7%. This is at a time when the shortage of semiconductor components in the world is a worrying factor facing technology markets, including the smartphone industry. However, the impact of this shortage is more limited than in other markets such as automobiles, PCs and other consumer technologies. IDC forecasts 1.38 billion smartphones in 2021 - the highest level since 2015 Global smartphone market forecast based on Different Generations of Mobile Networks From the point of view of Ryan Reith, IDC Vice President for Seasonal Review of the Global Mobile Devices Market, although the smartphone market is facing stiff competition from other markets such as PCs, tablets, TVs and devices. It is smart home, but this competitive environment has not limited the revival of this market. According to him, the smartphone market returned to growth in the fourth quarter of 2020 (leading to the New Year holidays) and since then, we have seen a steady increase in production among the top manufacturers. In addition, high demand for 5G products has led to a steady decline in prices. Thus, IDC predicts that the average selling price (ASP) of fifth-generation Android devices will drop by 12 percent year-on-year to $ 456 and then fall below $ 400 in 2022. In addition, Apple will continue to feel the pressure to reduce prices. IDC forecasts 1.38 billion smartphones in 2021 - the highest level since 2015

    Based on these data, the supply of fifth generation products is expected to grow by nearly 130% in 2021, and almost all regions outside China by the end of this year will grow by three digits. To experience. However, in terms of market share, China will lead with about 50% of 5G devices in 2021; The United States will be in second place with a 16 percent stake. Other major global markets, including Western Europe and Asia-Pacific (excluding China and Japan), will account for a total of 23.1% of the fifth-generation handset market by the end of 2021. Anthony Scarsella, director of research at IDC's global mobile market quarterly research division, also believes that while 7.7 percent growth will be a significant turning point in the market, we should note that now We are returning from one of the most challenging years in this market. According to Scarsella, 2021 has shown the highest annual growth of this market since 2015; Because the speed of transition to 5G technology has continued to increase in all price ranges. This shift to fifth-generation applications will also lead to the highest average selling price of smartphones in 2021 ($ 376, up 9.7% year-on-year) from other products. Because high-priced 5G devices will continue to replace LTE-based products, their prices will continue to fall by 27% this year.

    Source: IDC

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